Sunday, June 26, 2011

Forecast "Contest" Wrap Up

All of these 7 day forecasts were from June 18th. Granted it's just one forecast from one day, but you get the idea. I'm a little surprised how most of them were too warm for high temps on a consistent basis...some way too warm. Anyway, the results below.


June 18
WLFI: 92º/75º (+10º/+7º)
NWS IND: 84º/71º (+2º/+3º)
TWC: 87º/69º (+5º/+1º)
AccuWx: 85º/69º (+3º/+1º)
Actual: 82º/68º

June 19th
WLFI: 93º/73º (+12/+6)
NWS: 83º/67º (+2/0)
TWC: 83º/67º (+2/0)
AccuWx: 88º/72º (+7/+5)
Actual: 81º/67º


June 20th
WLFI: 93º/73º (+15/+7)
NWS: 88º/72º (+10/+6)
TWC: 86º/72º (+8/+6)
AccuWx: 87º/71º (+9/+5)
Actual: 78º/66º


June 21st
WLFI: 91º/65º (+4/-6)
NWS: 89º/72º (+2/+1)
TWC: 91º/72º (+4/+1)
AccuWx: 87º/70º (0/-1)

Actual: 87º/71º

June 22nd
WLFI: 87º/62º (+7/-6)
NWS: 83º/65º (+3/-3)
TWC: 85º/66º (+5/-2)
AccuWx: 83º/65º (+3/-3)
Actual: 80º/68º


June 23rd
WLFI: 87º/61º (+16/-2)
NWS: 77º/57º (+6/-6)
TWC: 76º/58º (+5/-5)
AccuWx: 76º/60º (+5/-3)
Actual: 71º/63º


June 24th
WLFI: 84º/59º (+16/-3)
NWS: 74º/NA (+6/NA)
TWC: 74º/59º (+6/-3)
AccuWx: 79º/59º (+11/-3)
Actual: 68º/62º


Using the high temps only, which honestly who cares about the overnight low temps in the summer, here are the total degrees errors and the average error for the period.
June 18-24
WLFI: +80 (+11.4 per day)
NWS: +31 (+4.4 per day)
TWC: +35 (+5.0 per day)
AccuWx: +38 (+5.4 per day)

No comments:

Post a Comment