Another Round Of Heat

Looks like the Thursday through Saturday period this week will feature another round of high heat and humidity. Temperatures look to be in the low to mid 90's for all three days. Thereafter, we look to cool back down to seasonable levels, especially by early next week.

Nice Weather Now...Heat Returns Later

Nice weather on tap for today and tomorrow, with temperatures in the low to mid 80's and lower humidity. Heat and humidity will be on the increase as we head through the weekend. Most of the computer models have quite the heat wave for next week. Matter of fact, it could possibly be our hottest stretch of weather since July 1995. More on that to follow. Below are the results of the 7 day "contest" that wrapped up yesterday. Apparently the computer is better than the humans. Ha ha.


Forecasts from July 6th and run from July 7th through July 13th. 


Thursday
Actual: 87º
WLFI: 89º (+2)
NWS: 83º (-4)
TWC: 85º (-2)
AccuWx: 83º (-4)
MEX MOS: 86º (-1)

Friday
Actual: 87º
WLFI: 89º (+2)
NWS: 84º (-3)
TWC: 87º (0)
AccuWx: 84º (-3)
MEX MOS: 86º (-1)

Saturday
Actual: 88º
WLFI: 91º (+3)
NWS: 87º (-1)
TWC: 87º (-1)
AccuWx: 86º (-2)
MEX MOS: 88º (0)

Sunday
Actual: 89º
WLFI: 92º (+3)
NWS: 88º (-1)
TWC: 91º (+2)
AccuWx: 89º (0)
MEX MOS: 90º (+1)

Monday
Actual: 95º
WLFI: 92º (-3)
NWS: 88º (-7)
TWC: 86º (-9)
AccuWx: 89º (-6)
MEX MOS: 91º (-4)

Tuesday
Actual: 91º 
WLFI: 92º (+1)
NWS: 86º  (-5)
TWC: 85º (-6)
AccuWx: 85º (-6)
MEX MOS: 88º  (-3)

Wednesday
Actual: 81º
WLFI: 94º (+13)
NWS: 85º (+4)
TWC: 85º (+4)
AccuWx: 84º (+3)
MEX MOS: 87º (+6)


Total error in degrees (average per day)
WLFI: 27º (3.9º)
NWS: 25º (3.6º)
TWC: 24º (3.4º)
AccuWx: 24º (3.4º)
MEX MOS: 16º (2.3º)

One More Day Of Heat

Temps today should be around 90º with high humidity. Not as bad as yesterday, but still a bit uncomfortable. Wednesday and Thursday will cool down into the low 80's with much more manageable dewpoints. Heat returns for the weekend with temps of 90º or greater a good bit. Rain chances for the next 7 days are slim to none.

Top 10 Warmest Junes On Record

Hottest Junes on record at the West Lafayette COOP (1901 to present)
1) 79.3º - 1933
2) 78.9º - 1934
3) 76.6º - 1921
4) 75.9º - 1944
5) 75.7º - 1925
6) 75.5º - 1941
7) 75.4º - 1919
8) 75.0º - 1931
9) 74.8º - 1939
10) 74.7º - 1991

No surprise, the 1930's dominate again. Who knows if there was some "fuzzy" recording or measuring back in those days, but there's also some "fuzziness" to LAF's numbers these days as well. Regardless those are the numbers to shoot for. 

As well, we're obviously off to a hot start through the first 4 days of June, with more heat in the next several days, so I looked for the hottest first 10 days of June throughout history.

1) 80.1º - 1933
2) 79.9º - 1925
3) 79.3º - 1934
4) 78.0º - 1942
5) 76.6º - 1914
6) 75.7º - 1963
7) 75.2º - 1911
8) 75.0º - 1940
9) 74.9º - 2005
10) 74.6º - 2008

LAF with an average of 75.9º through yesterday. 0z MEX MOS for the 6th through 10th: 87/60, 93/67, 94/69, 89/69, 79/65. Assuming a 88/64 for today and using the MEX numbers (no doubt they won't be exactly right, but will be for this purpose), the 10 day average will ballpark at 76.6º.